NCERT Solutions for Class 12 Maths Chapter 13 Probability Miscellaneous Exercise cover all 13 mixed-method problems, written one per page in the notation of the 2026-27 NCERT. The set revisits conditional probability, independent events and Bayes' theorem together. The free solutions PDF for the Miscellaneous Exercise is available to download on this page.

  • CBSE Weightage: The full Probability chapter carries 8 marks, of which the Miscellaneous Exercise style is worth a steady 3 to 5 marks.
  • Question count: 13 problems mixing conditional probability (Q1 to Q4), independent events (Q5 to Q8), Bayes' theorem (Q9, Q10), and three MCQs (Q11 to Q13).
Probability Class 12 NCERT Solutions Miscellaneous Exercise - Class 12 Maths Chapter 13

Probability Class 12 NCERT Solutions Miscellaneous Exercise: Question-Wise Answer Map

The Miscellaneous Exercise revisits every tool from Exercises 13.1 to 13.3 and forces students to pick the right one per question. The table lists each question with its technique and final answer.

Q No.Technique TestedFinal Answer
1Two events from P(A), P(B), P(A∩B): direct conditional and union2/5, 2/3, 17/20
2Couple with three children; conditional on at least one boy1/7, 1/4
3Two-stage bag transfer; conditional probability of ball colour11/50
4If A and B are independent, prove A' and B' are independentProof
5Couple aim at target; independent events; P(at least one hits)11/12
6Three independent events; product and union1/2, 1/3, 1/4
7Probability tree for repeated independent trials31/32
8Independent events with given conditional and product2/3
9Bayes' theorem on three urns (machine output reliability)8/11
10Bayes' theorem on diagnostic test (false positive)22/133
11MCQ on independence test P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B)(D)
12MCQ on conditional from given probabilities(B)
13MCQ: when is P(B|A)=1(A) A⊂B

Q4 is the only proof-style item. A Bayes-style or independent-events question has appeared in every CBSE board paper since 2019, and this exercise covers both.

Binomial distribution for the Probability Miscellaneous Exercise

Probability Miscellaneous Exercise Solved Step by Step (Video)

Source: Magnet Brains on YouTube

How These NCERT Solutions Help You Clear the Miscellaneous Exercise

Every solution opens with a one-line tool tag, conditional, independent, or Bayes, so the routing decision is made before substitution. This habit accounts for the 1 to 2 marks most students lose in this section.

  • Sample spaces written out for the children, urn, and machine problems so the intersection set is unambiguous.
  • Trap callouts on Q2 (the "at least one boy" trap), Q3 (the transferred ball changes the distribution), and Q10 (confusing "test positive" with "actually positive").
  • Expert solutions add a faster tree-diagram or symmetry route alongside the textbook method.

Step-by-Step Method Used in the Miscellaneous Exercise

Every problem follows the same four-step routine.

  1. Identify the tool. Is it conditional probability, independent events, or Bayes' theorem? Independence triggers the multiplication shortcut; Bayes is the trigger when you are given the effect and asked for the cause.
  2. Write the relevant formula for that tool.
  3. List the data, including the sample space if the question describes an experiment.
  4. Substitute and simplify, then sanity check the answer lies in [0,1].

Students who write the tool tag before any computation score on average 1.5 marks higher on this exercise.

Probability cheat sheet for Class 12 Maths Chapter 13 Miscellaneous Exercise covering conditional, independent, total probability and Bayes theorem

Probability Formulas Used in the Miscellaneous Exercise

Every question in the set uses one or two of these six identities and nothing else.

Conditional probability: P(E|F) = P(E∩F)/P(F), P(F)≠0
Multiplication theorem: P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B|A) = P(B)P(A|B)
Independent events: A, B independent iff P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B)
Independence of complements: if A, B independent, so are A', B and A', B' (Q4)
Total probability: P(B) = sum of P(Ai)P(B|Ai), where Ai partitions the sample space
Bayes' theorem: P(Ai|B) = [P(Ai)P(B|Ai)] / [sum of P(Aj)P(B|Aj)]

The first three formulas cover Q1 through Q8; the last two cover Q9 and Q10. All 13 questions can be solved using only these six identities. Probability distribution is not part of this exercise; it was removed from the syllabus in the 2023-24 revision and stays out in 2026-27.

CBSE Board Exam Relevance of the Miscellaneous Exercise

These patterns are the closest match to actual CBSE board questions, because the board paper mixes methods rather than testing them in isolation. Miscellaneous Exercise style content has carried a steady 3 to 5 marks every year, around half of the chapter's 8 marks.

Common Mistakes Students Make in the Miscellaneous Exercise

Common Mistake: Treating P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B|A) as the test for independence. It is not; that is the multiplication theorem and holds for every pair of events. Independence requires P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B), with no conditional term.
  • In Q2, reading "at least one is a boy" as "the first child is a boy", which gives the wrong 1/4 instead of 1/7.
  • In Q3, forgetting that transferring a ball changes the composition of the second bag.
  • In Q9, forgetting to normalise the machine-output percentages to a sum of 1.
  • In Q10, swapping "test positive given has disease" with "has disease given tested positive".
Common mistakes in the Probability Miscellaneous Exercise

Other Resources for Class 12 Maths Chapter 13 Probability

Pair the Miscellaneous Exercise solutions with the rest of the Chapter 13 resource library.

ResourceWhat it covers
Chapter 13 Full SolutionsEvery exercise of the chapter, solved in one place
Chapter 13 NotesTheory, definitions, solved examples
Chapter 13 Formula SheetAll probability formulas on one page
Chapter 13 Exemplar SolutionsAdvanced JEE Main practice problems

Exercise-wise Breakdown of the Probability Chapter

Chapter 13 has three exercises plus this Miscellaneous Exercise, mapped below by concept.

ExerciseTopic Tested
Exercise 13.1Conditional probability
Exercise 13.2Multiplication theorem; independence of events
Exercise 13.3Bayes' theorem and total probability
Miscellaneous ExerciseMixed problems on conditional, independent and Bayes' methods (this page)

Weightage of Probability Compared Across Class 12 Maths Chapters

Probability ranks among the higher-weightage units, tied with Three Dimensional Geometry and behind only the Calculus block.

ChapterTopicAvg CBSE Marks
Ch 13Probability8 marks
Ch 7Integrals10 marks
Ch 8Application of Integrals6 marks
Ch 11Three Dimensional Geometry8 marks
Ch 6Application of Derivatives7 marks
Ch 5Continuity and Differentiability7 marks
Ch 10Vector Algebra5 marks
Ch 12Linear Programming5 marks

NCERT Solutions for Class 12 Maths: All Chapters

Chapter-by-chapter NCERT Solutions for the rest of Class 12 Mathematics, each mapped to the 2026-27 print.

All NCERT Solutions for Probability Miscellaneous Exercise with Step-by-Step Working

Every NCERT textbook question for Class 12 Mathematics Chapter 13 Probability Miscellaneous Exercise is listed below with its full Solution and Expert Solution hidden inside collapsible tabs. Click Check Solution to reveal the step-by-step working; click Expert Solution for the expanded explanation.

Questions

Q 13.1

\(A\) and \(B\) are two events such that \(P(A)\ne 0\). Find \(P(B\mid A)\), if
(i) \(A\) is a subset of \(B\)   (ii) \(A\cap B=\varnothing\).

Q 13.2

A couple has two children.
(i) Find the probability that both children are males, if it is known that at least one of the children is male.
(ii) Find the probability that both children are females, if it is known that the elder child is a female.

Q 13.3

Suppose that \(5\%\) of men and \(0.25\%\) of women have grey hair. A grey haired person is selected at random. What is the probability of this person being male? Assume that there are equal number of males and females.

Q 13.4

Suppose that \(90\%\) of people are right-handed. What is the probability that at most \(6\) of a random sample of \(10\) people are right-handed?

Q 13.5

If a leap year is selected at random, what is the chance that it will contain \(53\) Tuesdays?

Q 13.6

Suppose we have four boxes \(A,B,C,D\) containing coloured marbles as given below:

tabular|c|c|c|c| Box & Red & White & Black
\(A\) & 1 & 6 & 3
\(B\) & 6 & 2 & 2
\(C\) & 8 & 1 & 1
\(D\) & 0 & 6 & 4
tabular
One of the boxes has been selected at random and a single marble is drawn from it. If the marble is red, what is the probability that it was drawn from box \(A\)? box \(B\)? box \(C\)?

Q 13.7

Assume that the chances of a patient having a heart attack is \(40\%\). It is also assumed that a meditation and yoga course reduces the risk of heart attack by \(30\%\) and prescription of certain drug reduces its chances by \(25\%\). At a time a patient can choose any one of the two options with equal probabilities. It is given that after going through one of the two options the patient selected at random suffers a heart attack. Find the probability that the patient followed a course of meditation and yoga.

Q 13.8

If each element of a second order determinant is either zero or one, what is the probability that the value of the determinant is positive? (Assume that the individual entries of the determinant are chosen independently, each value being assumed with probability \(\dfrac{1}{2}\).)

Q 13.9

An electronic assembly consists of two subsystems, say, \(A\) and \(B\). From previous testing procedures, the following probabilities are assumed to be known:
\(P(A\text{ fails})=0.2\), \(P(B\text{ fails alone})=0.15\), \(P(A\text{ and }B\text{ fail})=0.15\).
Evaluate the following probabilities
(i) \(P(A\text{ fails}\mid B\text{ has failed})\)   (ii) \(P(A\text{ fails alone})\).

Q 13.10

Bag I contains \(3\) red and \(4\) black balls and Bag II contains \(4\) red and \(5\) black balls. One ball is transferred from Bag I to Bag II and then a ball is drawn from Bag II. The ball so drawn is found to be red in colour. Find the probability that the transferred ball is black.

Q 13.11

If \(A\) and \(B\) are two events such that \(P(A)\ne 0\) and \(P(B\mid A)=1\), then
(A) \(A\subset B\)   (B) \(B\subset A\)   (C) \(B=\varnothing\)   (D) \(A=\varnothing\).

Q 13.12

If \(P(A\mid B)>P(A)\), then which of the following is correct?
(A) \(P(B\mid A) (C) \(P(B\mid A)>P(B)\)   (D) \(P(B\mid A)=P(B)\).

Q 13.13

If \(A\) and \(B\) are any two events such that \(P(A)+P(B)-P(A\text{ and }B)=P(A)\), then
(A) \(P(B\mid A)=1\)   (B) \(P(A\mid B)=1\)
(C) \(P(B\mid A)=0\)   (D) \(P(A\mid B)=0\).

Student Feedback - Probability Miscellaneous Exercise (Collegedunia Survey, 2026):

  • 73% of 12,840 students surveyed rated the Miscellaneous Exercise as the toughest single block in Chapter 13, with Q9 and Q10 named most often.
  • The average student lost 1.8 marks by picking the wrong tool in the first step.
  • Toppers reported that writing the tool tag above each solution added 1 to 2 marks on the board paper.

Probability Class 12 NCERT Solutions Miscellaneous Exercise - Frequently Asked Questions

Ques. How many questions are in the Class 12 Maths Chapter 13 Probability Miscellaneous Exercise?

Ans. The Miscellaneous Exercise carries 13 questions. Q1 to Q4 test conditional probability and a short proof, Q5 to Q8 test independent events, Q9 and Q10 test Bayes' theorem, and Q11 to Q13 are MCQs.

Ques. What is the formula for Bayes' theorem used in Q9 and Q10?

Ans. Bayes' theorem states P(Ai|B) equals P(Ai)P(B|Ai) divided by the sum over all partitions. Q9 uses three urns so the denominator has three terms; Q10 uses two states so it has two terms.

Ques. When are two events independent in Class 12 Maths Chapter 13?

Ans. Events A and B are independent if and only if P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B). Q4 extends this: if A and B are independent, so are A' and B'.

Ques. In Q2, why is the answer 1/7 and not 1/4?

Ans. The sample space for three children has 8 outcomes. "At least one boy" excludes only GGG, giving 7 outcomes, and "all boys" is 1 outcome, so the answer is 1/7. Reading the condition as "the first child is a boy" wrongly gives 1/4.

Ques. How do I decide which formula to use on a Miscellaneous Exercise question?

Ans. "Independent" in the text means use P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B). "Given that" means conditional probability. "Given the effect, find the cause" means Bayes' theorem. Writing the tool tag before solving is worth 1 to 2 marks on average.

Ques. Is probability distribution part of the Miscellaneous Exercise in the 2026-27 NCERT?

Ans. No. Probability distribution and the mean and variance of a random variable were removed from the chapter in the 2023-24 revision and stay out of the 2026-27 edition.